Air traffic recovery is fast-approaching pre-pandemic levels – ICAO

Photo Credit: Hdrnow2, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons

LONDON – The International Civil Aviation Organisation (ICAO) have released analyses revealing that air transport seat capacity and passenger totals globally have reached an estimated 80% of pre-pandemic levels.

ICAO recent findings

According to the international body, global passenger revenue at currently around 72% of its 2019 high point. The number of air passengers carried from January to August of this year increased by an estimated 55% compared to the same period in 2021.

Aircraft flight departures increased by 28%, with overall seat capacity growing by 32% over the same period.

In terms of passenger revenues, and keeping yield and exchange rates at 2019 levels, there was an estimated 70% growth achieved for the first eight months of 2022 compared to the same period of 2021.

The number of passenger aircraft in service during the analysis period improved by 34% compared to the same period of last year, and mirrored overall traffic recovery in reaching 80% of pre-pandemic levels. 

The number of cargo aircraft in service is 4% higher than its pre-pandemic benchmark, due largely to their use remaining robust throughout COVID-19 in support of medical, humanitarian and other critical global supply chains, and increased consumer reliance on international e-commerce. 

ICAO currently predicts that a majority of international route groups should fully recover to their pre-pandemic levels by either the fourth quarter of this year or the first quarter of 2023. Segments of East and North Asia could prove to be slower, with recovery there following later in 2023.

Later this month ICAO will be hosting 193 countries at its 41st Assembly, where new decisions will be forthcoming on key innovation and resilience objectives supporting the increased sustainability and digitalization of 21st century air transport.

IATA recent report

The ICAO findings concur with those reported recently by the International Air Transport Association (IATA). In an evaluation of global progress up to the mid-year point, IATA Director general made the following observations on 7 September:  

“The good news is the recovery continues and passenger recovery is gaining momentum. And as you would expect, we continue to see growth in both the domestic and the international markets.”

“The July figures show that the cargo business is still roughly around where it was in 2019. So, a solid performance from cargo.”

“Domestic has seen a strong recovery, principally due to China—the domestic market rebounding– and I’ll show you some figures on that in a moment. International traffic is now 32% down on where it was in 2019.”

With respect to the overall global performance, compared to the pre-pandemic activity level, Willie Walsh observed:

“Overall, we’re at about 75% of where we were in 2019. So, making a solid recovery as we go through the summer season in the Northern Hemisphere.” 

The recent progress updates from both international bodies bodes well for the steady recovery of the global air transport sector following the two-year hiatus.

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